Civil rights organizations, led by the Kenya Human Rights Commission (KHRC), have raised serious doubts over President Yoweri Museveni’s reported victory in Uganda’s January 15 election, calling the results “statistically impossible.”
The analysis, which examined voting patterns and turnout rates, suggests irregularities that could point to manipulation or systemic flaws in the electoral process.
According to the KHRC-led coalition, voter turnout in several districts exceeded 100%, while in other areas, results showed near-unanimous support for Museveni—an outcome statisticians say is highly improbable under normal electoral conditions.
The findings have reignited concerns about the integrity of Uganda’s electoral institutions and the transparency of the Independent Electoral Commission (IEC).
Opposition leader Bobi Wine, whose party has consistently challenged Museveni’s rule, welcomed the report, calling it “an independent confirmation of what millions of Ugandans already know—that the election was neither free nor fair.”
Wine and other opposition figures continue to dispute the official results and have vowed to pursue legal avenues to challenge the outcome.
International observers, including the European Union and the United States, had previously expressed concern over voting irregularities and the intimidation of opposition supporters during the campaign period.
Following the election, tensions remain high, with reports of arrests and restrictions on public gatherings in several urban centers.
Analysts warn that the disputed election outcome could have regional implications, affecting stability in East Africa and relations between Kenya and Uganda.
Human rights groups are calling on the Ugandan government to address the anomalies transparently and allow independent audits to restore confidence in the democratic process.
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