“ODM Was Buried the Day We Buried Raila” — Eric Latiff Claims

“ODM Was Buried the Day We Buried Raila,” said political analyst Eric Latiff, highlighting how Kenya’s parties often revolve around strong personalities rather than institutional strength, a pattern visible in the Orange Democratic Movement’s history.

The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) was founded and propelled by Raila Odinga, whose leadership and national appeal made the party a major political force for decades, with Raila at the center of its strategy and vision.

Following Raila Odinga’s death in October 2025, leadership passed to Oburu Odinga, sparking debates within ODM over the party’s future direction and whether it could retain influence without its longtime leader.

Some political observers warn that ODM risks fragmentation and could shrink to a regional party if it over-relies on alliances with emerging parties like UDA, especially ahead of the 2027 general elections.

The United Democratic Alliance (UDA), led by President William Ruto, illustrates the personalistic nature of Kenyan politics, as its growth and influence are closely tied to Ruto’s leadership and national prominence.

Jubilee Party, formerly under President Uhuru Kenyatta, has seen renewed relevance with new leadership, suggesting that parties rooted in individual leaders can still retain some influence if strategically managed.

Kenyan political history repeatedly shows that party fortunes rise and fall with their leaders: UDA with Ruto, Jubilee with Uhuru, and ODM with Raila, highlighting the individual-centric nature of party politics in the country.

ODM officials insist the party remains committed to its principles and will determine its path independently, signaling efforts to survive and adapt politically even without Raila Odinga’s guiding presence.

Ultimately, while personal leadership defines party strength in Kenya, long-term survival will hinge on institutional resilience, voter loyalty, and the ability to evolve beyond reliance on a single charismatic figure.